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Red109
205247.9
249145.3
32917.4
Blue109
310035.6
308236.4
565328.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141030200300400500109109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+10
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave6
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points24
22Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +2
13Coral scored#14
45Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
6Processor points6
20Net points16
26Algae points22
71Total teleop73
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#6
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
109Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.90.2
47.147.4
Auto12.3
Teleop29.9
End5.7
red by 11.5
36.40.3
34.334.6
Auto16.1
Teleop19.0
End1.2
Second
45.30.2
44.544.7
Auto10.1
Teleop27.9
End7.3
red by 9.7
35.60.3
33.533.8
Auto2.7
Teleop27.8
End5.1
Third
3291
#12
7.40.2
6.87.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End1.3
blue by 20.9
5653
#15
28.30.3
26.226.5
Auto5.7
Teleop19.5
End3.1