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Red67
453633.5
318428.7
222721.5
Blue92
250230.1
419832.7
527510.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108780501502006792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+17
Endgame+29
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +6
10Coral scored#10
35Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
45Total teleop51
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
6Foul points2
67Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4536
#18
33.52.3
36.634.2
Auto3.4
Teleop28.1
End2.0
red by 0.8
4198
#10
32.70.8
32.733.4
Auto4.5
Teleop20.3
End7.9
Second
3184
#14
28.72.3
30.428.0
Auto3.1
Teleop23.2
End2.4
blue by 1.4
2502
#16
30.10.8
34.134.9
Auto6.5
Teleop19.5
End4.0
Third
2227
#27
21.52.6
29.326.7
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.2
red by 10.8
5275
#25
10.70.8
11.912.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned