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Red133
460767.3
477838.1
298747.7
Blue162
212959.1
218121.9
249160.6
41%Model gave it59%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168177100150200250133162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+19
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave3
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points33
37Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +18
16Coral scored#18
56Coral points64
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
6Processor points12
20Net points24
26Algae points36
82Total teleop100
Reef
7L4#11
6L3#7
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points10
133Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.31.7
70.668.8
Auto18.1
Teleop42.6
End6.6
red by 6.7
60.61.1
64.863.7
Auto12.6
Teleop40.5
End7.5
Second
47.71.7
50.448.7
Auto14.5
Teleop27.5
End5.8
blue by 11.3
2129
#11
59.11.1
65.864.7
Auto17.4
Teleop40.4
End1.4
Third
4778
#12
38.11.9
34.832.9
Auto9.6
Teleop27.4
End1.1
red by 16.3
2181
#17
21.91.1
29.128.0
Auto7.8
Teleop9.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned