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Red35
284611.8
247230.5
250023.4
Blue60
285519.3
25138.7
310044.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions878202003004005003560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+23
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +23
6Coral scored#8
20Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
24Total teleop47
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#4
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
35Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2472
#19
30.53.1
35.732.6
Auto4.5
Teleop24.8
End1.2
blue by 14.3
3100
#28
44.71.3
47.446.0
Auto3.1
Teleop37.4
End4.3
Second
2500
#13
23.43.1
28.825.7
Auto4.8
Teleop16.4
End2.2
red by 4.0
2855
#30
19.31.3
24.022.7
Auto3.6
Teleop13.1
End2.7
Third
2846
#24
11.83.1
17.414.3
Auto2.7
Teleop7.4
End1.7
red by 3.1
2513
#20
8.71.3
8.47.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed