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Red122
55414.8
327685.7
36108.8
Blue76
340717.1
253114.8
318428.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1186705010015020012276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+64Teleop
+76Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +54
18Coral scored#6
64Coral points22
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#4
12Processor points0
16Net points16
28Algae points16
92Total teleop38
Reef
9L4#3
4L3#2
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points30
122Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.72.1
79.281.3
Auto7.4
Teleop67.3
End11.1
red by 57.1
3184
#14
28.71.2
28.026.8
Auto3.1
Teleop23.2
End2.4
Second
3610
#26
8.82.1
10.412.5
Auto2.9
Teleop3.7
End2.3
blue by 8.3
3407
#21
17.11.2
19.918.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End1.7
Third
5541
#23
4.82.3
1.33.6
Auto0.4
Teleop3.9
End0.4
blue by 10.0
2531
#29
14.81.2
16.315.1
Auto0.9
Teleop13.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned