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Red52
25138.7
247033.7
318428.7
Blue139
477838.1
222721.5
253069.6
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7014705010020025052139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+71
Endgame+81
Fouls+87
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +50
8Coral scored#14
27Coral points49
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#7
0Processor points12
12Net points28
12Algae points40
39Total teleop89
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#7
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +87
0Foul points6
52Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2470
#15
33.71.6
38.236.6
Auto7.8
Teleop21.3
End4.7
blue by 35.9
69.60.2
65.866.0
Auto15.3
Teleop45.9
End8.4
Second
3184
#14
28.71.6
26.525.0
Auto3.1
Teleop23.2
End2.4
blue by 9.5
4778
#12
38.10.2
34.334.4
Auto9.6
Teleop27.4
End1.1
Third
2513
#20
8.71.6
7.86.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End1.7
blue by 12.8
2227
#27
21.50.2
24.324.4
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned