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Red84
25138.7
250230.1
472860.6
Blue114
249160.6
36108.8
453633.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1391419011012013015016084114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+24
Fouls+30
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +32
11Coral scored#13
40Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
6Processor points12
8Net points28
14Algae points40
54Total teleop86
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points6
84Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.62.9
71.568.7
Auto8.4
Teleop42.3
End9.9
Level
60.61.2
72.371.1
Auto12.6
Teleop40.5
End7.5
Second
2502
#16
30.12.9
39.536.6
Auto6.5
Teleop19.5
End4.0
blue by 3.4
4536
#18
33.51.2
40.138.9
Auto3.4
Teleop28.1
End2.0
Third
2513
#20
8.72.9
15.913.0
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End1.7
blue by 0.1
3610
#26
8.81.5
13.712.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned