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Red122
253069.6
205263.7
527510.7
Blue124
340717.1
247230.5
247033.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194117050100150250300122124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+20Teleop
+10Endgame
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points27
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +24
15Coral scored#15
53Coral points55
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
12Processor points6
28Net points8
40Algae points14
93Total teleop69
Reef
9L4#8
6L3#4
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points12
122Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.64.1
77.273.1
Auto15.3
Teleop45.9
End8.4
red by 35.9
2470
#15
33.71.3
42.741.4
Auto7.8
Teleop21.3
End4.7
Second
63.74.1
68.364.1
Auto11.5
Teleop43.3
End8.9
red by 33.2
2472
#19
30.51.3
42.541.2
Auto4.5
Teleop24.8
End1.2
Third
5275
#25
10.75.1
16.911.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End1.0
blue by 6.4
3407
#21
17.11.4
23.121.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned