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Red122
472860.6
249160.6
460767.3
Blue67
253114.8
310044.7
222721.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2499305015020030035012267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+41Auto
+45Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +41
0Leave3
9Coral scored#0
44Coral points0
44Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +4
13Coral scored#9
48Coral points34
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
62Total teleop58
Reef
10L4#4
7L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
122Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.36.3
76.970.6
Auto18.1
Teleop42.6
End6.6
red by 22.6
3100
#28
44.72.4
50.848.4
Auto3.1
Teleop37.4
End4.3
Second
60.66.3
71.164.8
Auto12.6
Teleop40.5
End7.5
red by 39.1
2227
#27
21.53.0
32.229.3
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.2
Third
60.66.3
68.762.3
Auto8.4
Teleop42.3
End9.9
red by 45.8
2531
#29
14.82.4
20.518.1
Auto0.9
Teleop13.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
68%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed