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Red24
284611.8
25138.7
218121.9
Blue91
318428.7
250230.1
298747.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5913501001502002491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+63
Endgame+61
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +56
3Coral scored#13
9Coral points47
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
9Total teleop65
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
5Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points6
24Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2181
#17
21.92.8
31.929.1
Auto7.8
Teleop9.6
End4.4
blue by 25.9
47.72.5
52.950.4
Auto14.5
Teleop27.5
End5.8
Second
2846
#24
11.82.8
20.617.8
Auto2.7
Teleop7.4
End1.7
blue by 18.3
2502
#16
30.12.5
36.634.1
Auto6.5
Teleop19.5
End4.0
Third
2513
#20
8.72.8
13.010.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End1.7
blue by 20.0
3184
#14
28.72.5
32.930.4
Auto3.1
Teleop23.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsMissed