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Red90
247230.5
253069.6
55414.8
Blue101
250023.4
308254.1
784910.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1459705020025090101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+51
Endgame+55
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +37
6Coral scored#12
23Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
37Total teleop74
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
44Foul points0
90Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.65.5
73.167.6
Auto15.3
Teleop45.9
End8.4
red by 15.6
54.10.2
51.251.4
Auto15.2
Teleop37.4
End1.5
Second
2472
#19
30.55.5
41.235.7
Auto4.5
Teleop24.8
End1.2
red by 7.1
2500
#13
23.40.2
28.628.8
Auto4.8
Teleop16.4
End2.2
Third
5541
#23
4.86.7
8.01.3
Auto0.4
Teleop3.9
End0.4
blue by 5.9
7849
#22
10.70.3
14.815.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed