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Red180
957655.0
472872.9
388343.6
Blue121
702865.4
205269.7
604557.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186208100150250300350180121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4728
Unranked
72.90.0
72.972.9
Auto13.1
Teleop48.2
End11.6
red by 3.2
2052
Unranked
69.70.0
69.769.7
Auto10.2
Teleop49.3
End10.3
Second
9576
Unranked
55.00.0
55.055.0
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End8.4
blue by 10.4
7028
Unranked
65.40.0
65.465.4
Auto14.7
Teleop40.4
End10.3
Third
3883
Unranked
43.60.0
43.643.6
Auto6.8
Teleop28.6
End8.2
blue by 14.1
6045
Unranked
57.70.0
57.757.7
Auto7.4
Teleop48.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto odds97%Auto odds
Coral
52%Coral odds54%Coral odds
Barge
97%Barge odds90%Barge odds