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Red191
460777.6
308247.4
702865.4
Blue117
534852.5
284772.0
305840.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20817850100150250300350400191117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
Unranked
77.60.0
77.677.6
Auto16.4
Teleop52.8
End8.4
red by 5.6
2847
Unranked
72.00.0
72.072.0
Auto20.0
Teleop42.4
End9.5
Second
7028
Unranked
65.40.0
65.465.4
Auto14.7
Teleop40.4
End10.3
red by 12.9
5348
Unranked
52.50.0
52.552.5
Auto9.6
Teleop35.2
End7.7
Third
3082
Unranked
47.40.0
47.447.4
Auto14.3
Teleop30.5
End2.6
red by 7.3
3058
Unranked
40.10.0
40.140.1
Auto6.5
Teleop25.8
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto odds98%Auto odds
Coral
65%Coral odds30%Coral odds
Barge
94%Barge odds98%Barge odds