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Red168
534852.5
388343.6
702865.4
Blue181
284772.0
460777.6
604557.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17322650100150200250300350168181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7028
Unranked
65.40.0
65.465.4
Auto14.7
Teleop40.4
End10.3
blue by 12.2
4607
Unranked
77.60.0
77.677.6
Auto16.4
Teleop52.8
End8.4
Second
5348
Unranked
52.50.0
52.552.5
Auto9.6
Teleop35.2
End7.7
blue by 19.5
2847
Unranked
72.00.0
72.072.0
Auto20.0
Teleop42.4
End9.5
Third
3883
Unranked
43.60.0
43.643.6
Auto6.8
Teleop28.6
End8.2
blue by 14.1
6045
Unranked
57.70.0
57.757.7
Auto7.4
Teleop48.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto odds97%Auto odds
Coral
30%Coral odds44%Coral odds
Barge
97%Barge odds89%Barge odds