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Red179
305840.1
957655.0
205269.7
Blue197
388343.6
472872.9
308247.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18217604006008001,0001,200179197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
Unranked
69.70.0
69.769.7
Auto10.2
Teleop49.3
End10.3
blue by 3.2
4728
Unranked
72.90.0
72.972.9
Auto13.1
Teleop48.2
End11.6
Second
9576
Unranked
55.00.0
55.055.0
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End8.4
red by 7.7
3082
Unranked
47.40.0
47.447.4
Auto14.3
Teleop30.5
End2.6
Third
3058
Unranked
40.10.0
40.140.1
Auto6.5
Teleop25.8
End7.8
blue by 3.4
3883
Unranked
43.60.0
43.643.6
Auto6.8
Teleop28.6
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto odds76%Auto odds
Coral
53%Coral odds62%Coral odds
Barge
97%Barge odds94%Barge odds