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Red151
604557.7
305840.1
534852.5
Blue209
702865.4
308247.4
205269.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15520350100250300350151209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6045
Unranked
57.70.0
57.757.7
Auto7.4
Teleop48.8
End1.5
blue by 12.0
2052
Unranked
69.70.0
69.769.7
Auto10.2
Teleop49.3
End10.3
Second
5348
Unranked
52.50.0
52.552.5
Auto9.6
Teleop35.2
End7.7
blue by 12.9
7028
Unranked
65.40.0
65.465.4
Auto14.7
Teleop40.4
End10.3
Third
3058
Unranked
40.10.0
40.140.1
Auto6.5
Teleop25.8
End7.8
blue by 7.3
3082
Unranked
47.40.0
47.447.4
Auto14.3
Teleop30.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto odds90%Auto odds
Coral
14%Coral odds77%Coral odds
Barge
81%Barge odds96%Barge odds