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Red146
205269.7
957655.0
460777.6
Blue164
388343.6
702865.4
305840.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228156100200250300350146164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
Unranked
77.60.0
77.677.6
Auto16.4
Teleop52.8
End8.4
red by 12.2
7028
Unranked
65.40.0
65.465.4
Auto14.7
Teleop40.4
End10.3
Second
2052
Unranked
69.70.0
69.769.7
Auto10.2
Teleop49.3
End10.3
red by 26.2
3883
Unranked
43.60.0
43.643.6
Auto6.8
Teleop28.6
End8.2
Third
9576
Unranked
55.00.0
55.055.0
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End8.4
red by 14.9
3058
Unranked
40.10.0
40.140.1
Auto6.5
Teleop25.8
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto odds96%Auto odds
Coral
71%Coral odds28%Coral odds
Barge
97%Barge odds97%Barge odds