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Red153
284772.0
604557.7
305840.1
Blue167
205269.7
534852.5
957655.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18420050100150250300350153167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2847
Unranked
72.00.0
72.072.0
Auto20.0
Teleop42.4
End9.5
red by 2.3
2052
Unranked
69.70.0
69.769.7
Auto10.2
Teleop49.3
End10.3
Second
6045
Unranked
57.70.0
57.757.7
Auto7.4
Teleop48.8
End1.5
red by 2.7
9576
Unranked
55.00.0
55.055.0
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End8.4
Third
3058
Unranked
40.10.0
40.140.1
Auto6.5
Teleop25.8
End7.8
blue by 12.4
5348
Unranked
52.50.0
52.552.5
Auto9.6
Teleop35.2
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto odds96%Auto odds
Coral
26%Coral odds55%Coral odds
Barge
89%Barge odds97%Barge odds