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Red191
308247.4
205269.7
388343.6
Blue219
460777.6
534852.5
472872.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16922250100150200250300350191219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
Unranked
69.70.0
69.769.7
Auto10.2
Teleop49.3
End10.3
blue by 7.8
4607
Unranked
77.60.0
77.677.6
Auto16.4
Teleop52.8
End8.4
Second
3082
Unranked
47.40.0
47.447.4
Auto14.3
Teleop30.5
End2.6
blue by 25.6
4728
Unranked
72.90.0
72.972.9
Auto13.1
Teleop48.2
End11.6
Third
3883
Unranked
43.60.0
43.643.6
Auto6.8
Teleop28.6
End8.2
blue by 8.9
5348
Unranked
52.50.0
52.552.5
Auto9.6
Teleop35.2
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto odds95%Auto odds
Coral
66%Coral odds56%Coral odds
Barge
95%Barge odds97%Barge odds