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Red174
305840.1
534852.5
460777.6
Blue163
604557.7
957655.0
472872.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18320250100150250300350174163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
Unranked
77.60.0
77.677.6
Auto16.4
Teleop52.8
End8.4
red by 4.6
4728
Unranked
72.90.0
72.972.9
Auto13.1
Teleop48.2
End11.6
Second
5348
Unranked
52.50.0
52.552.5
Auto9.6
Teleop35.2
End7.7
blue by 5.2
6045
Unranked
57.70.0
57.757.7
Auto7.4
Teleop48.8
End1.5
Third
3058
Unranked
40.10.0
40.140.1
Auto6.5
Teleop25.8
End7.8
blue by 14.9
9576
Unranked
55.00.0
55.055.0
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto odds96%Auto odds
Coral
29%Coral odds46%Coral odds
Barge
96%Barge odds84%Barge odds