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Red111
957655.0
284772.0
308247.4
Blue126
460777.6
388343.6
604557.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19519204006008001,0001,2001,4001,600111126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2847
Unranked
72.00.0
72.072.0
Auto20.0
Teleop42.4
End9.5
blue by 5.6
4607
Unranked
77.60.0
77.677.6
Auto16.4
Teleop52.8
End8.4
Second
9576
Unranked
55.00.0
55.055.0
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End8.4
blue by 2.7
6045
Unranked
57.70.0
57.757.7
Auto7.4
Teleop48.8
End1.5
Third
3082
Unranked
47.40.0
47.447.4
Auto14.3
Teleop30.5
End2.6
red by 3.8
3883
Unranked
43.60.0
43.643.6
Auto6.8
Teleop28.6
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto odds91%Auto odds
Coral
63%Coral odds28%Coral odds
Barge
95%Barge odds83%Barge odds