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Red221
725773.0
327688.4
253081.3
Blue241
460780.9
591373.1
205272.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255233150200300350221241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
10Coral scored#7
51Coral points35
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +25
34Coral scored#30
122Coral points107
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#10
12Processor points24
12Net points40
24Algae points64
146Total teleop171
Reef
14L4#14
13L3#9
10L2#8
7L1 · trough#6
49Game pieces#51
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
221Total score241

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.40.5
89.088.4
Auto11.2
Teleop65.5
End11.8
red by 7.5
80.90.4
80.680.9
Auto18.3
Teleop54.0
End8.7
Second
81.30.5
81.881.3
Auto17.8
Teleop52.9
End10.6
red by 8.2
5913
#34
73.10.4
72.773.1
Auto11.9
Teleop49.9
End11.3
Third
7257
#15
73.00.5
73.573.0
Auto13.0
Teleop50.1
End9.8
red by 0.8
72.10.4
71.872.1
Auto10.2
Teleop52.7
End9.3