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Red261
725773.0
327688.4
253081.3
Blue233
460780.9
591373.1
205272.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254233150200300261233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+18Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
8Coral scored#8
42Coral points38
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +11
35Coral scored#31
126Coral points113
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#8
24Processor points18
24Net points32
48Algae points50
174Total teleop163
Reef
21L4#21
9L3#7
5L2#7
8L1 · trough#4
53Game pieces#50
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
261Total score233

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.40.4
88.689.0
Auto11.2
Teleop65.5
End11.8
red by 7.5
80.90.2
80.480.6
Auto18.3
Teleop54.0
End8.7
Second
81.30.4
81.481.8
Auto17.8
Teleop52.9
End10.6
red by 8.2
5913
#34
73.10.2
72.572.7
Auto11.9
Teleop49.9
End11.3
Third
7257
#15
73.00.4
73.173.5
Auto13.0
Teleop50.1
End9.8
red by 0.8
72.10.2
71.671.8
Auto10.2
Teleop52.7
End9.3