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Red240
725773.0
327688.4
253081.3
Blue261
460780.9
591373.1
205272.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255231150200300240261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+11
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave9
6Coral scored#8
32Coral points42
41Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +1
31Coral scored#36
113Coral points130
4Processor algae#4
9Net algae#5
24Processor points24
36Net points20
60Algae points44
173Total teleop174
Reef
15L4#14
9L3#16
6L2#9
7L1 · trough#5
50Game pieces#53
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
240Total score261

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.40.1
88.688.6
Auto11.2
Teleop65.5
End11.8
red by 7.5
80.90.9
79.580.4
Auto18.3
Teleop54.0
End8.7
Second
81.30.1
81.581.4
Auto17.8
Teleop52.9
End10.6
red by 8.2
5913
#34
73.10.9
71.772.5
Auto11.9
Teleop49.9
End11.3
Third
7257
#15
73.00.1
73.173.1
Auto13.0
Teleop50.1
End9.8
red by 0.8
72.10.9
70.771.6
Auto10.2
Teleop52.7
End9.3