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Red256
460780.9
591373.1
205272.1
Blue241
249167.9
472871.5
702869.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234215150200250300256241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
6Coral scored#10
31Coral points48
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +29
36Coral scored#29
131Coral points106
6Processor algae#4
4Net algae#6
36Processor points24
16Net points24
52Algae points48
183Total teleop154
Reef
17L4#17
14L3#7
4L2#11
7L1 · trough#4
52Game pieces#49
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
256Total score241

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.90.8
78.779.5
Auto18.3
Teleop54.0
End8.7
red by 9.4
4728
#10
71.50.8
70.771.5
Auto10.4
Teleop49.7
End11.4
Second
5913
#34
73.10.8
70.971.7
Auto11.9
Teleop49.9
End11.3
red by 3.9
69.20.8
68.469.2
Auto12.0
Teleop45.9
End11.2
Third
72.10.8
69.970.7
Auto10.2
Teleop52.7
End9.3
red by 4.3
2491
#13
67.90.8
67.167.9
Auto15.0
Teleop43.9
End9.0