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Red236
249167.9
472871.5
702869.2
Blue227
614773.9
288366.0
284779.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions217233160180200260280300320236227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+36
Teleop+1
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +36
3Leave6
5Coral scored#12
26Coral points59
29Total auto65
TeleoperatedRed +35
37Coral scored#22
133Coral points80
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#8
18Processor points24
20Net points32
38Algae points56
171Total teleop136
Reef
13L4#9
16L3#11
7L2#9
6L1 · trough#5
50Game pieces#46
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
236Total score227

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4728
#10
71.50.6
70.170.7
Auto10.4
Teleop49.7
End11.4
blue by 7.8
79.30.1
79.279.3
Auto21.4
Teleop46.8
End11.0
Second
69.20.6
67.868.4
Auto12.0
Teleop45.9
End11.2
blue by 4.7
6147
#19
73.90.1
73.773.9
Auto18.9
Teleop45.3
End9.6
Third
2491
#13
67.90.6
66.467.1
Auto15.0
Teleop43.9
End9.0
red by 1.9
66.00.1
65.966.0
Auto12.8
Teleop45.9
End7.3