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Red209
212971.3
388349.9
308257.6
Blue246
284779.3
205272.1
305841.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17320650100150250300350209246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+33
Fouls+37
AutonomousRed +5
9Leave3
6Coral scored#7
32Coral points33
41Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +18
23Coral scored#35
84Coral points126
7Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
42Processor points18
24Net points24
66Algae points42
150Total teleop168
Reef
9L4#14
10L3#11
6L2#8
4L1 · trough#9
42Game pieces#51
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
2Foul points6
209Total score246

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#24
71.32.2
69.571.6
Auto18.5
Teleop50.9
End1.9
blue by 8.0
79.33.0
72.075.0
Auto21.4
Teleop46.8
End11.0
Second
3082
#17
57.62.9
47.450.2
Auto16.7
Teleop39.0
End1.9
blue by 14.5
72.13.0
69.772.7
Auto10.2
Teleop52.7
End9.3
Third
49.92.2
43.645.7
Auto9.6
Teleop33.3
End7.0
red by 8.5
3058
#32
41.43.0
40.143.1
Auto9.4
Teleop24.3
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
72%Coral oddsEarned60%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned