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Red145
534856.3
565348.5
591373.1
Blue192
310242.9
249167.9
614773.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195195150170180190145192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+11
Endgame+21
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points17
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +8
23Coral scored#22
83Coral points79
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
12Processor points12
4Net points16
16Algae points28
99Total teleop107
Reef
7L4#11
11L3#8
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points26
145Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
#34
73.12.7
73.070.2
Auto11.9
Teleop49.9
End11.3
blue by 0.8
6147
#19
73.91.4
73.271.8
Auto18.9
Teleop45.3
End9.6
Second
5348
#14
56.32.7
52.549.8
Auto9.1
Teleop40.7
End6.5
blue by 11.6
2491
#13
67.91.4
67.365.9
Auto15.0
Teleop43.9
End9.0
Third
5653
#28
48.52.7
52.549.7
Auto7.1
Teleop37.5
End3.9
red by 5.6
3102
#23
42.91.4
37.836.4
Auto7.1
Teleop29.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned