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Red125
604558.4
284779.3
247245.4
Blue145
753024.8
298752.3
702869.2
86%Model gave it14%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19514550100250300125145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+12
Endgame+12
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points34
30Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +8
16Coral scored#14
57Coral points51
1Processor algae#4
4Net algae#3
6Processor points24
16Net points12
22Algae points36
79Total teleop87
Reef
6L4#6
8L3#8
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points8
125Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.33.5
75.071.4
Auto21.4
Teleop46.8
End11.0
red by 10.1
69.20.2
64.264.4
Auto12.0
Teleop45.9
End11.2
Second
6045
#12
58.43.5
60.356.7
Auto5.6
Teleop50.9
End1.9
red by 6.1
2987
#26
52.30.2
51.751.9
Auto15.3
Teleop30.8
End6.2
Third
2472
#21
45.43.5
42.839.2
Auto6.8
Teleop37.1
End1.5
red by 20.6
7530
#29
24.80.2
17.818.0
Auto6.8
Teleop11.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned