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Red253
702869.2
310054.7
327688.4
Blue198
308257.6
534856.3
222537.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24314350100200300350253198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+25Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave6
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points27
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +42
33Coral scored#26
119Coral points95
7Processor algae#4
10Net algae#10
42Processor points24
40Net points40
82Algae points64
201Total teleop159
Reef
12L4#11
8L3#9
8L2#7
7L1 · trough#4
52Game pieces#45
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
253Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.41.7
84.586.2
Auto11.2
Teleop65.5
End11.8
red by 30.8
3082
#17
57.62.7
53.155.8
Auto16.7
Teleop39.0
End1.9
Second
69.21.7
64.466.1
Auto12.0
Teleop45.9
End11.2
red by 12.9
5348
#14
56.32.4
52.955.3
Auto9.1
Teleop40.7
End6.5
Third
3100
#31
54.71.7
54.456.1
Auto3.2
Teleop45.2
End6.4
red by 17.4
2225
#25
37.32.7
29.332.0
Auto6.4
Teleop23.5
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
75%Coral oddsEarned30%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsMissed