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Red200
604558.4
310242.9
313062.6
Blue208
212971.3
957661.2
329756.0
13%Model gave it87%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16121650100200250300200208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+20
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points31
33Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +16
24Coral scored#25
87Coral points91
3Processor algae#7
9Net algae#6
18Processor points42
36Net points24
54Algae points66
141Total teleop157
Reef
10L4#10
10L3#9
4L2#7
5L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#44
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
200Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#11
62.62.9
53.956.8
Auto14.9
Teleop38.0
End9.6
blue by 8.7
2129
#24
71.30.9
68.469.3
Auto18.5
Teleop50.9
End1.9
Second
6045
#12
58.42.9
55.158.0
Auto5.6
Teleop50.9
End1.9
blue by 2.8
61.20.9
59.760.7
Auto9.5
Teleop44.2
End7.4
Third
3102
#23
42.92.9
36.539.4
Auto7.1
Teleop29.0
End6.7
blue by 13.2
3297
#20
56.00.9
54.955.8
Auto9.8
Teleop38.9
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned74%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned