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Red136
614644.6
674926.5
614773.9
Blue114
305841.4
613232.6
298752.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17113550100150200250300136114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
+10Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +15
9Leave9
3Coral scored#6
14Coral points29
23Total auto38
TeleoperatedRed +25
16Coral scored#14
57Coral points52
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
18Processor points6
12Net points4
30Algae points10
87Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#8
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
136Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6147
#19
73.90.5
71.971.3
Auto18.9
Teleop45.3
End9.6
red by 21.5
2987
#26
52.30.7
52.351.6
Auto15.3
Teleop30.8
End6.2
Second
6146
#16
44.60.5
44.944.4
Auto4.4
Teleop33.2
End7.0
red by 3.2
3058
#32
41.40.7
42.141.5
Auto9.4
Teleop24.3
End7.7
Third
6749
#35
26.50.5
27.426.8
Auto7.0
Teleop15.9
End3.6
blue by 6.1
6132
#27
32.60.7
29.428.8
Auto5.2
Teleop22.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned