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Red237
388349.9
400950.8
460780.9
Blue234
247046.3
591373.1
288366.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19418750100150250300350237234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+13Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave6
10Coral scored#4
48Coral points20
51Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +12
24Coral scored#33
88Coral points120
8Processor algae#4
6Net algae#7
48Processor points24
24Net points28
72Algae points52
160Total teleop172
Reef
13L4#15
9L3#10
8L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
48Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
237Total score234

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.93.4
75.879.2
Auto18.3
Teleop54.0
End8.7
red by 7.9
5913
#34
73.13.7
69.072.7
Auto11.9
Teleop49.9
End11.3
Second
4009
#30
50.83.4
50.754.1
Auto11.0
Teleop37.2
End2.6
blue by 15.2
66.03.7
56.460.1
Auto12.8
Teleop45.9
End7.3
Third
49.93.4
48.952.2
Auto9.6
Teleop33.3
End7.0
red by 3.6
2470
#22
46.33.7
42.546.2
Auto8.6
Teleop32.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsEarned65%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned