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Red237
249167.9
308257.6
702869.2
Blue216
253081.3
725773.0
472871.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191239100150250300350237216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave6
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points24
50Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +1
33Coral scored#35
117Coral points126
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
24Processor points18
20Net points16
44Algae points34
161Total teleop160
Reef
12L4#13
10L3#11
15L2#10
5L1 · trough#6
51Game pieces#47
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
237Total score216

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.22.6
66.168.7
Auto12.0
Teleop45.9
End11.2
blue by 12.1
81.31.3
76.775.4
Auto17.8
Teleop52.9
End10.6
Second
2491
#13
67.92.6
64.367.0
Auto15.0
Teleop43.9
End9.0
blue by 5.1
7257
#15
73.01.3
74.172.8
Auto13.0
Teleop50.1
End9.8
Third
3082
#17
57.62.6
55.858.5
Auto16.7
Teleop39.0
End1.9
blue by 13.9
4728
#10
71.51.3
73.972.6
Auto10.4
Teleop49.7
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsEarned83%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned