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Red135
310054.7
222537.3
248035.7
Blue162
565348.5
331349.9
247245.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1421660400600800135162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+41
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +25
3Leave3
2Coral scored#7
12Coral points37
15Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +16
21Coral scored#20
74Coral points72
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
12Processor points18
8Net points20
20Algae points38
94Total teleop110
Reef
8L4#8
5L3#9
5L2#8
5L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#35
BargeRed +14
26Cage & park12
26Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
135Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3100
#31
54.70.2
56.156.0
Auto3.2
Teleop45.2
End6.4
red by 4.8
3313
#36
49.90.5
51.652.1
Auto16.2
Teleop27.0
End6.7
Second
2225
#25
37.30.2
32.031.8
Auto6.4
Teleop23.5
End7.5
blue by 11.2
5653
#28
48.50.5
49.449.9
Auto7.1
Teleop37.5
End3.9
Third
2480
#33
35.70.2
34.734.5
Auto9.1
Teleop17.2
End9.4
blue by 9.7
2472
#21
45.40.5
39.840.3
Auto6.8
Teleop37.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsMissed