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Red173
247046.3
753024.8
327688.4
Blue146
310242.9
305841.4
329756.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18015150100200250300350173146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+27Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +20
21Coral scored#19
75Coral points69
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
18Processor points12
24Net points16
42Algae points28
117Total teleop97
Reef
12L4#8
6L3#5
4L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
173Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.40.6
86.286.8
Auto11.2
Teleop65.5
End11.8
red by 32.4
3297
#20
56.00.1
55.855.7
Auto9.8
Teleop38.9
End7.3
Second
2470
#22
46.30.6
46.246.8
Auto8.6
Teleop32.4
End5.3
red by 3.4
3102
#23
42.90.1
39.439.3
Auto7.1
Teleop29.0
End6.7
Third
7530
#29
24.80.6
20.220.8
Auto6.8
Teleop11.3
End6.7
blue by 16.6
3058
#32
41.40.1
41.541.4
Auto9.4
Teleop24.3
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned