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Red161
460780.9
754146.6
674926.5
Blue209
472871.5
308257.6
604558.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165209100150250300161209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+34
Endgame+42
Fouls+48
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
6Coral scored#4
28Coral points21
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +41
23Coral scored#35
82Coral points127
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
24Processor points12
12Net points20
36Algae points32
118Total teleop159
Reef
11L4#13
9L3#11
6L2#10
3L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points6
161Total score209

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.90.1
79.279.0
Auto18.3
Teleop54.0
End8.7
red by 9.4
4728
#10
71.50.2
72.672.8
Auto10.4
Teleop49.7
End11.4
Second
7541
#18
46.60.1
45.945.7
Auto6.8
Teleop31.6
End8.2
blue by 11.8
6045
#12
58.40.2
58.058.2
Auto5.6
Teleop50.9
End1.9
Third
6749
#35
26.50.1
26.826.7
Auto7.0
Teleop15.9
End3.6
blue by 31.2
3082
#17
57.60.2
58.558.7
Auto16.7
Teleop39.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsEarned73%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned