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Red213
310054.7
247245.4
253081.3
Blue191
249167.9
212971.3
534856.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191208150250300213191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points30
30Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +28
26Coral scored#23
95Coral points81
3Processor algae#6
14Net algae#6
18Processor points36
56Net points24
74Algae points60
169Total teleop141
Reef
9L4#14
11L3#7
8L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
48Game pieces#41
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
213Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.31.8
75.477.2
Auto17.8
Teleop52.9
End10.6
red by 10.0
2129
#24
71.31.0
69.368.3
Auto18.5
Teleop50.9
End1.9
Second
3100
#31
54.71.8
56.057.8
Auto3.2
Teleop45.2
End6.4
blue by 13.1
2491
#13
67.91.0
67.066.0
Auto15.0
Teleop43.9
End9.0
Third
2472
#21
45.41.8
40.342.1
Auto6.8
Teleop37.1
End1.5
blue by 10.9
5348
#14
56.31.0
55.454.4
Auto9.1
Teleop40.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsEarned56%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned