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Red198
248035.7
725773.0
957661.2
Blue227
284779.3
222537.3
614773.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195213150250300198227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+49
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +31
6Leave9
2Coral scored#8
10Coral points38
16Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +18
32Coral scored#36
116Coral points130
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
18Processor points18
12Net points16
30Algae points34
146Total teleop164
Reef
14L4#16
10L3#15
6L2#8
4L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#51
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
198Total score227

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7257
#15
73.00.4
72.873.2
Auto13.0
Teleop50.1
End9.8
blue by 6.4
79.31.5
75.777.1
Auto21.4
Teleop46.8
End11.0
Second
61.20.4
60.761.0
Auto9.5
Teleop44.2
End7.4
blue by 12.7
6147
#19
73.91.5
71.372.8
Auto18.9
Teleop45.3
End9.6
Third
2480
#33
35.70.4
34.534.9
Auto9.1
Teleop17.2
End9.4
blue by 1.6
2225
#25
37.31.5
31.833.3
Auto6.4
Teleop23.5
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
45%Coral oddsEarned69%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned