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Red163
305841.4
331349.9
388349.9
Blue202
754146.6
604558.4
702869.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15419250100250300163202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+29
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
8Coral scored#4
38Coral points20
47Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +50
23Coral scored#23
84Coral points84
1Processor algae#6
3Net algae#8
6Processor points36
12Net points32
18Algae points68
102Total teleop152
Reef
9L4#8
9L3#7
8L2#8
5L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
163Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3313
#36
49.90.5
50.150.7
Auto16.2
Teleop27.0
End6.7
blue by 19.3
69.21.1
68.169.2
Auto12.0
Teleop45.9
End11.2
Second
49.90.6
49.450.0
Auto9.6
Teleop33.3
End7.0
blue by 8.6
6045
#12
58.41.1
58.259.2
Auto5.6
Teleop50.9
End1.9
Third
3058
#32
41.40.5
41.441.9
Auto9.4
Teleop24.3
End7.7
blue by 5.3
7541
#18
46.61.1
45.746.8
Auto6.8
Teleop31.6
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned53%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned