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Red197
565348.5
329756.0
284779.3
Blue180
725773.0
591373.1
674926.5
66%Model gave it34%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions205186100150250300197180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+5Teleop
+15Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave0
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points23
29Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +1
20Coral scored#25
72Coral points91
3Processor algae#4
10Net algae#4
18Processor points24
40Net points16
58Algae points40
130Total teleop131
Reef
9L4#8
5L3#9
8L2#7
3L1 · trough#6
38Game pieces#38
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
2Foul points0
197Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.30.5
77.177.6
Auto21.4
Teleop46.8
End11.0
red by 6.2
5913
#34
73.10.3
69.970.2
Auto11.9
Teleop49.9
End11.3
Second
3297
#20
56.00.5
55.756.1
Auto9.8
Teleop38.9
End7.3
blue by 16.9
7257
#15
73.00.3
73.273.5
Auto13.0
Teleop50.1
End9.8
Third
5653
#28
48.50.5
49.349.8
Auto7.1
Teleop37.5
End3.9
red by 22.0
6749
#35
26.50.3
26.727.0
Auto7.0
Teleop15.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsMissed41%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned