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Red175
247245.4
310242.9
957661.2
Blue154
308257.6
400950.8
310054.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152197100250300175154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +21
22Coral scored#26
79Coral points92
5Processor algae#2
8Net algae#4
30Processor points12
32Net points16
62Algae points28
141Total teleop120
Reef
14L4#8
5L3#12
5L2#8
4L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#37
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
175Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.21.4
61.062.5
Auto9.5
Teleop44.2
End7.4
red by 3.6
3082
#17
57.61.8
58.756.8
Auto16.7
Teleop39.0
End1.9
Second
2472
#21
45.41.4
42.143.5
Auto6.8
Teleop37.1
End1.5
blue by 9.3
3100
#31
54.71.8
57.856.0
Auto3.2
Teleop45.2
End6.4
Third
3102
#23
42.91.4
39.340.7
Auto7.1
Teleop29.0
End6.7
blue by 8.0
4009
#30
50.81.8
53.451.6
Auto11.0
Teleop37.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned59%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
84%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsMissed