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Red210
288366.0
614773.9
298752.3
Blue216
222537.3
249167.9
253081.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208207190200220230240210216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+2
Endgame+12
Fouls+6
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
8Coral scored#10
42Coral points48
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +2
26Coral scored#21
95Coral points75
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#9
12Processor points18
20Net points36
32Algae points54
127Total teleop129
Reef
9L4#10
10L3#7
6L2#7
9L1 · trough#7
41Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
6Foul points0
210Total score216

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6147
#19
73.90.5
72.873.3
Auto18.9
Teleop45.3
End9.6
blue by 7.4
81.31.9
77.279.1
Auto17.8
Teleop52.9
End10.6
Second
66.00.5
62.863.3
Auto12.8
Teleop45.9
End7.3
blue by 1.9
2491
#13
67.91.9
66.067.9
Auto15.0
Teleop43.9
End9.0
Third
2987
#26
52.30.5
49.650.1
Auto15.3
Teleop30.8
End6.2
red by 15.0
2225
#25
37.31.9
33.335.2
Auto6.4
Teleop23.5
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
83%Coral oddsEarned45%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned