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Red212
212971.3
248035.7
205272.1
Blue212
472871.5
534856.3
247046.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198199160170180190210220230240212212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
6Coral scored#8
31Coral points38
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +13
30Coral scored#24
109Coral points86
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#8
12Processor points18
28Net points32
40Algae points50
149Total teleop136
Reef
14L4#14
11L3#8
7L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#43
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points6
212Total score212

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.1
Auto10.2
Teleop52.7
End9.3
red by 0.6
4728
#10
71.5
Auto10.4
Teleop49.7
End11.4
Second
2129
#24
71.3
Auto18.5
Teleop50.9
End1.9
red by 15.0
5348
#14
56.3
Auto9.1
Teleop40.7
End6.5
Third
2480
#33
35.7
Auto9.1
Teleop17.2
End9.4
blue by 10.6
2470
#22
46.3
Auto8.6
Teleop32.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsEarned74%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned