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Red194
400950.8
288366.0
725773.0
Blue81
753024.8
674926.5
310054.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18810105015025030019481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+93Teleop
+115Endgame
+113Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
3Leave3
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points6
40Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +62
26Coral scored#12
94Coral points44
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
128Total teleop66
Reef
14L4#4
8L3#5
5L2#3
6L1 · trough#1
40Game pieces#18
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +113
0Foul points2
194Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7257
#15
73.00.8
67.868.6
Auto13.0
Teleop50.1
End9.8
red by 18.2
3100
#31
54.72.5
53.851.3
Auto3.2
Teleop45.2
End6.4
Second
66.00.8
51.051.8
Auto12.8
Teleop45.9
End7.3
red by 39.5
6749
#35
26.52.5
31.128.6
Auto7.0
Teleop15.9
End3.6
Third
4009
#30
50.80.8
52.052.8
Auto11.0
Teleop37.2
End2.6
red by 26.1
7530
#29
24.82.5
20.317.8
Auto6.8
Teleop11.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsMissed