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Red156
247046.3
329756.0
222537.3
Blue215
614644.6
604558.4
298752.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150174100200250156215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+55
Endgame+67
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +41
21Coral scored#31
77Coral points110
4Processor algae#4
6Net algae#8
24Processor points24
24Net points32
48Algae points56
125Total teleop166
Reef
10L4#13
4L3#10
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
8Foul points0
156Total score215

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3297
#20
56.00.3
57.056.7
Auto9.8
Teleop38.9
End7.3
blue by 2.4
6045
#12
58.42.6
57.760.3
Auto5.6
Teleop50.9
End1.9
Second
2470
#22
46.30.3
41.240.9
Auto8.6
Teleop32.4
End5.3
blue by 6.1
2987
#26
52.32.6
49.151.7
Auto15.3
Teleop30.8
End6.2
Third
2225
#25
37.30.4
28.328.0
Auto6.4
Teleop23.5
End7.5
blue by 7.2
6146
#16
44.62.6
45.147.7
Auto4.4
Teleop33.2
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned31%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned