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Red193
319770.1
205268.1
419837.2
Blue184
253073.0
614760.5
248037.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187180120140160200220240260193184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+13Teleop
+11Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave0
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points37
50Total auto37
Teleoperatedlevel
23Coral scored#22
81Coral points79
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
113Total teleop113
Reef
10L4#10
9L3#11
6L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +9
6Foul points8
193Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.10.3
69.870.1
Auto16.9
Teleop46.4
End6.7
blue by 2.9
73.00.1
72.973.0
Auto16.9
Teleop44.6
End11.5
Second
68.10.3
67.968.1
Auto12.0
Teleop44.8
End11.3
red by 7.6
60.50.1
60.460.5
Auto18.3
Teleop35.5
End6.7
Third
4198
#27
37.20.3
36.937.2
Auto6.4
Teleop22.2
End8.7
red by 0.2
2480
#18
37.00.2
36.837.0
Auto8.9
Teleop21.3
End6.8