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Red89
260615.8
369131.8
216931.5
Blue184
453640.1
614760.5
319770.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6916305010015020025089184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+83
Endgame+81
Fouls+95
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave0
1Coral scored#8
6Coral points40
12Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +55
10Coral scored#21
37Coral points76
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#8
18Processor points18
16Net points32
34Algae points50
71Total teleop126
Reef
4L4#11
3L3#8
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#6
18Game pieces#40
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +95
0Foul points14
89Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3691
#26
31.80.2
22.022.2
Auto4.0
Teleop24.6
End3.2
blue by 38.3
70.10.8
60.661.3
Auto16.9
Teleop46.4
End6.7
Second
2169
#31
31.50.2
33.633.8
Auto6.4
Teleop21.4
End3.7
blue by 29.1
60.51.0
47.148.0
Auto18.3
Teleop35.5
End6.7
Third
2606
#46
15.80.3
14.014.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End0.7
blue by 24.3
4536
#28
40.11.0
34.235.2
Auto5.0
Teleop33.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsMissed