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Red57
915715.3
217537.4
304220.9
Blue130
319770.1
250030.3
523222.7
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46117010015020057130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+63
Endgame+73
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +15
3Leave9
2Coral scored#4
12Coral points21
15Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +48
8Coral scored#14
28Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#6
6Processor points12
4Net points24
10Algae points36
38Total teleop86
Reef
5L4#7
2L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points0
57Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
#38
37.40.6
23.923.3
Auto9.5
Teleop26.1
End1.7
blue by 32.7
70.11.2
59.460.6
Auto16.9
Teleop46.4
End6.7
Second
3042
#22
20.90.4
11.210.7
Auto5.4
Teleop13.9
End1.5
blue by 9.5
2500
#12
30.31.6
19.521.1
Auto6.6
Teleop21.4
End2.4
Third
9157
#45
15.30.6
15.715.2
Auto3.6
Teleop9.1
End2.6
blue by 7.4
5232
#33
22.71.6
22.323.9
Auto3.7
Teleop14.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned