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Red125
375117.9
248037.0
614760.5
Blue79
212964.3
223927.1
361013.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8611505015020025030012579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+32Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave9
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points14
36Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +19
15Coral scored#13
55Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
75Total teleop56
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#5
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#18
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
125Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.53.8
43.347.1
Auto18.3
Teleop35.5
End6.7
blue by 3.8
2129
#20
64.31.7
54.853.1
Auto19.1
Teleop44.2
End1.1
Second
2480
#18
37.04.7
17.822.5
Auto8.9
Teleop21.3
End6.8
red by 9.9
2239
#29
27.11.7
23.521.7
Auto3.3
Teleop20.0
End3.7
Third
3751
#17
17.94.7
18.323.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.1
End2.1
red by 4.2
3610
#47
13.72.2
20.218.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed